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<Research>CMBI Upgrades XPeng (XPEV.US) to Buy, Adds TP to US$16
Recommend
10
Positive
18
Negative
3
XPENG-W (09868.HK) (XPEV.US) has recently launched two new models, Mona M03 and XPeng P7+, both of which have been successful, according to a report issued by CMBI. As their attractive pricing and clear positioning have lifted the likelihood of success for the four new models to be launched next year, the full-year sales forecast for next year has been accordingly raised by 26% to 390,000 units, with new models expected to account for 75%.

CMBI emphasized that the assumption of XPeng breaking even by 2026 was based on sales growth. The current forecast for 2026 sales is approximately 490,000 units, with a GPM projected to reach 15.3% and an annual net profit forecast of RMB103 million.

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CMBI upgraded the company's rating from Hold to Buy and raised its target price for the company's US shares from US$8 to US$16, equivalent to a forecasted P/S ratio of 1.5 times for next year, higher than its peers. The broker considered the valuation multiple reasonable because the company is expected to achieve breakeven by 2026.
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