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<Commodity>G Sachs: 4Q Brent USD90 Forecast Faces Downside Risk as Oil Mkt Demand Declines
In view of reduced oil supply in the Middle East wrought by the Iran war, coupled with weakening market demand, oil prices are facing double whammy, Goldman Sachs said in its repor...
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<Commodity>G Sachs: 4Q Brent USD90 Forecast Faces Downside Risk as Oil Mkt Demand Declines
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In view of reduced oil supply in the Middle East wrought by the Iran war, coupled with weakening market demand, oil prices are facing double whammy, Goldman Sachs said in its report.

Based on April's oil sales data from China and Western Europe, there is a downside risk of about 2 million bps to Goldman Sachs' demand forecast for the month, which was already very low. This implies around a USD10 downside risk to its forecast of USD90 for Brent crude in 4Q.

Goldman Sachs observed that the longer the Middle East crude supply disruptions persist, the greater the upside risk to oil prices. However, weak demand also poses marked downside price risks. It believed that the eventual response of oil demand to high prices could result in a larger-than-expected decline in oil prices.

Brent oil futures elevated this morning (1st), up 2.33% to USD93.24 per barrel.
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