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IMF下調新興市場今年經濟增長預測至3.9% 降中國增長預測至4.4%
國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)發表《世界經濟展望報告》,下調今年全球經濟增長預測,由3.3%降至3.1%,這項預測的前提是伊朗衝突相對短暫兼且今年能源價格溫和上漲。在最嚴峻的情境下,全球經濟增長將低於2%。報告提到,中東戰爭爆發後,全球經濟前景驟然黯淡,發展中經濟體預計將遭受最大衝擊,新興市場今年經濟增長預測已從數個月前預測的4.2%下調至3.9%。IMF預計,...
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IMF下調新興市場今年經濟增長預測至3.9% 降中國增長預測至4.4%
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國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)發表《世界經濟展望報告》,下調今年全球經濟增長預測,由3.3%降至3.1%,這項預測的前提是伊朗衝突相對短暫兼且今年能源價格溫和上漲。在最嚴峻的情境下,全球經濟增長將低於2%。
報告提到,中東戰爭爆發後,全球經濟前景驟然黯淡,發展中經濟體預計將遭受最大衝擊,新興市場今年經濟增長預測已從數個月前預測的4.2%下調至3.9%。
IMF預計,今年美國經濟將增長2.3%,較1月份的2.4%預測略有下調。在主要經濟體中,歐洲受到的衝擊特別明顯,德國及英國今年經濟增長預計均僅為0.8%,較此前預測分別下調0.3個百分點及0.5個百分點。中國經濟預計將增長4.4%,低於1月預測的4.5%,不過政府的刺激政策在一定程度上抵銷中東衝擊帶來的負面影響。(mn/w)
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