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US Fed Minutes Shows No Consensus on Interest Rate Cut Time
The minutes of the US Federal Reserve's June meeting showed that members of the Federal Open Market Committee have yet to agree on how many months of good inflation data are ne...
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US Fed Minutes Shows No Consensus on Interest Rate Cut Time
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The minutes of the US Federal Reserve's June meeting showed that members of the Federal Open Market Committee have yet to agree on how many months of good inflation data are needed to give the central bank enough confidence to cut interest rates.

Fed Members noted uncertainty about the economic outlook and how long it would be appropriate to maintain a restrictive policy stance, with some members emphasised the need for patience, allowing the current level of interest rates to dampen demand and moderate inflationary pressures. A number of members indicated that interest rates might need to be raised if inflation remained at a higher level or rose further. On the other hand, some policy members said that the Fed should be prepared for "unexpected economic weakness".

The minutes noted that some members were concerned about the weakening labour market and that a slowdown in demand could lead to an even more severe unemployment response than in the recent past.

The street now expects a 70% chance that the interest rate will begin to be cut in September and that the rates will be cut twice for the year.

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