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Fed's Waller: Iran Conflict Raises Inflation Risks, Caution Needed on Near-Term Rate Cuts
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said on Friday that in light of energy shocks triggered by the Iran conflict, policymakers need to remain cautious about near-term rate ...
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Fed's Waller: Iran Conflict Raises Inflation Risks, Caution Needed on Near-Term Rate Cuts
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Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said on Friday that in light of energy shocks triggered by the Iran conflict, policymakers need to remain cautious about near-term rate cuts, warning that inflation could face prolonged upside risks if the conflict persists.

In a speech, Waller outlined two scenarios. If the Strait of Hormuz reopens and normal trade resumes, the rise in energy prices may prove temporary, allowing the authorities to shift focus to the relatively weaker labor market during the year, and potentially become more inclined to cut rates to support employment.

However, he noted that markets may be underestimating the risk of a prolonged conflict. If energy prices remain elevated for an extended period, businesses would pass on higher costs to other goods, pushing up overall prices. If inflation risks outweigh employment risks, it may be necessary to keep interest rates unchanged at current levels.

Several Fed officials also favor holding rates steady at the April meeting. (me/s)~

This article was automatically translated by AI, the Chinese version should be considered the authoritative version. AASTOCKS.com Limited does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness and accepts no liability for any damages or losses arising from the use of this translation.

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