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<Research>CICC: Geopolitical Supply Risks in Oil Mkt Heat Up Again; Supply Expectation Gap Enters Verification Phase
The geopolitical supply risks in the oil market have risen again recently, though, unlike before, geopolitical-related supply has already shown signs of substantial damage since th...
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<Research>CICC: Geopolitical Supply Risks in Oil Mkt Heat Up Again; Supply Expectation Gap Enters Verification Phase
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The geopolitical supply risks in the oil market have risen again recently, though, unlike before, geopolitical-related supply has already shown signs of substantial damage since the end of last year, CICC wrote in its research report.

CICC suggested that the first supply-side expectation gap opportunity in the oil market this year may have entered the verification phase. Although it is difficult to reverse the surplus situation, it is still expected to provide a cost floor support and premium revaluation opportunity for oil prices, maintaining the judgment that the reasonable range for Brent oil prices in 1H26 will be USD60-70 per barrel.
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